Maccabi Ashdod vs Nordia Jerusalem: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 10Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Ashdod Senti, Ašdod (Ashdod)
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Nordia Jerusalem. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Ashdod vs Nordia Jerusalem?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Maccabi Ashdod (1,688) and Nordia Jerusalem (1,644).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Ashdod have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Nordia Jerusalem have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 2-5 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Maccabi Ashdod win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Nordia Jerusalem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | Maccabi Ashdod 3-3 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Maccabi Ashdod 2-1 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Nordia Jerusalem 0-1 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Apr 4, 2024 | Nordia Jerusalem 1-1 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Jan 15, 2024 | Maccabi Ashdod 1-1 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Feb 18, 2022 | Nordia Jerusalem 0-1 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Ashdod vs Nordia Jerusalem on Dec 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Ashdod score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Ashdod | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Nordia Jerusalem | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Ashdod sit 10th in Liga Alef (28 points from 21 matches) and Nordia Jerusalem sit 16th (15 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Maccabi Ashdod | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 28 |
| 16 | Nordia Jerusalem | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 40 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Ashdod vs Nordia Jerusalem?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Nordia Jerusalem.
- Where and when is Maccabi Ashdod vs Nordia Jerusalem played?
- Maccabi Ashdod vs Nordia Jerusalem is played on November 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Ashdod Senti, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 6, 2026Hapoel MarmorekvsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Nov 6, 2026Holon YermiyahuvsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Nov 6, 2026Beitar YavnevsHapoel Azor
- Nov 7, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsHapoel Herzliya
- Nov 7, 2026Hapoel HaderavsHapoel Sderot
- Nov 7, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsTzeirey Tira
- Nov 7, 2026FC JerusalemvsDimona
- Nov 7, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsMaccabi Yavne