Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 10Kick-off on November 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Holon Municipal Stadium, Holon
The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Holon Yermiyahu (1,655) and Hapoel Mahane Yehuda (1,562).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holon Yermiyahu have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(away) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | Hapoel Hod HaSharon(away) | 1-5 | State Cup |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Agudat Sport Ashdod(away) | 0-1 | State Cup |
| Oct 8, 2024 | Hapoel Kiryat Ono(away) | 2-1 | State Cup |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Maccabi Giv'at Shmuel(home) | 3-1 | State Cup |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla(away) | 4-2 | State Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Holon Yermiyahu win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2019 | Holon Yermiyahu 2-0 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | Liga Alef |
| Sep 14, 2018 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 0-1 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Apr 4, 2018 | Holon Yermiyahu 0-0 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | Liga Alef |
| Dec 8, 2017 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 0-1 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda on Jan 18, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Holon Yermiyahu score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Mahane Yehuda score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holon Yermiyahu | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Holon Yermiyahu | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 33 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?
- The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda.
- Where and when is Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda played?
- Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda is played on November 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Holon Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 6, 2026Hapoel MarmorekvsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Nov 6, 2026Maccabi AshdodvsNordia Jerusalem
- Nov 6, 2026Beitar YavnevsHapoel Azor
- Nov 7, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsHapoel Herzliya
- Nov 7, 2026Hapoel HaderavsHapoel Sderot
- Nov 7, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsTzeirey Tira
- Nov 7, 2026FC JerusalemvsDimona
- Nov 7, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsMaccabi Yavne