Hapoel Hadera vs Shimshon Tel Aviv: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 2Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Netanya Stadium, Netanya
The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Hapoel Hadera. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Hadera vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Hapoel Hadera (1,645) and Shimshon Tel Aviv (1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Hadera have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Shimshon Tel Aviv have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 1-6 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(away) | 0-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 14, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(home) | 3-3 | Liga Leumit |
| May 8, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(home) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 5, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(home) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(home) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(home) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Hadera score 1.1 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Shimshon Tel Aviv score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Hadera | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Shimshon Tel Aviv | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Hadera vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
- The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Hapoel Hadera.
- Where and when is Hapoel Hadera vs Shimshon Tel Aviv played?
- Hapoel Hadera vs Shimshon Tel Aviv is played on September 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Netanya Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 9, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Sep 9, 2026DimonavsMaccabi Yavne
- Sep 9, 2026Hapoel AzorvsTzeirey Tira
- Sep 9, 2026Hapoel HerzliyavsNordia Jerusalem
- Sep 9, 2026Hapoel SderotvsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Sep 9, 2026Holon YermiyahuvsHapoel Marmorek
- Sep 9, 2026Beitar YavnevsKfar Saba 1928
- Sep 9, 2026FC JerusalemvsMaccabi Ashdod