FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Ashdod: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 2Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Har Huma synthetic, Jerusalem
The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Maccabi Ashdod. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Ashdod?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate FC Jerusalem (1,753) and Maccabi Ashdod (1,688).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Jerusalem have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Maccabi Ashdod have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Dimona(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 5-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 FC Jerusalem win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Maccabi Ashdod win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | FC Jerusalem 3-3 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Maccabi Ashdod 3-1 FC Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2025 | FC Jerusalem 0-4 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Maccabi Ashdod 0-1 FC Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Ashdod on Feb 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Jerusalem score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Ashdod score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Jerusalem | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Maccabi Ashdod | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Jerusalem sit 2nd in Liga Alef (37 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Ashdod sit 10th (28 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Jerusalem | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 37 |
| 10 | Maccabi Ashdod | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Ashdod?
- The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Maccabi Ashdod.
- Where and when is FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Ashdod played?
- FC Jerusalem vs Maccabi Ashdod is played on September 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Har Huma synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 9, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Sep 9, 2026Hapoel HaderavsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Sep 9, 2026DimonavsMaccabi Yavne
- Sep 9, 2026Hapoel AzorvsTzeirey Tira
- Sep 9, 2026Hapoel HerzliyavsNordia Jerusalem
- Sep 9, 2026Hapoel SderotvsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Sep 9, 2026Holon YermiyahuvsHapoel Marmorek
- Sep 9, 2026Beitar YavnevsKfar Saba 1928