Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Marmorek: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 2Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Holon Municipal Stadium, Holon
The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Marmorek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Marmorek?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Holon Yermiyahu (1,655) and Hapoel Marmorek (1,608).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holon Yermiyahu have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Hapoel Marmorek have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(away) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Holon Yermiyahu win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Hapoel Marmorek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu 1-2 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Hapoel Marmorek 1-0 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Holon Yermiyahu 0-2 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Hapoel Marmorek 1-1 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Holon Yermiyahu 3-0 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Hapoel Marmorek 0-2 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Marmorek on Jan 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Holon Yermiyahu score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Marmorek score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holon Yermiyahu | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Hapoel Marmorek | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Holon Yermiyahu sit 11th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Marmorek sit 12th (24 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Holon Yermiyahu | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 33 | 24 |
| 12 | Hapoel Marmorek | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 34 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Marmorek?
- The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Marmorek.
- Where and when is Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Marmorek played?
- Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Marmorek is played on September 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Holon Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 9, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Sep 9, 2026Hapoel HaderavsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Sep 9, 2026DimonavsMaccabi Yavne
- Sep 9, 2026Hapoel AzorvsTzeirey Tira
- Sep 9, 2026Hapoel HerzliyavsNordia Jerusalem
- Sep 9, 2026Hapoel SderotvsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Sep 9, 2026Beitar YavnevsKfar Saba 1928
- Sep 9, 2026FC JerusalemvsMaccabi Ashdod