Match

Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Marmorek: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 2Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Holon Municipal Stadium, Holon

Holon YermiyahuHapoel Marmorek

The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Marmorek. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Marmorek?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Holon Yermiyahu (1,655) and Hapoel Marmorek (1,608).

Holon Yermiyahu win41 %
Draw27 %
Hapoel Marmorek win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holon Yermiyahu have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Hapoel Marmorek have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Holon Yermiyahu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Maccabi Yavne(away)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Beitar Yavne(home)1-0Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026Shimshon Tel Aviv(away)0-2Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Hapoel Marmorek(home)1-2Liga Alef
Hapoel Marmorek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Maccabi Ashdod(home)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Hapoel Herzliya(away)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026Beitar Yavne(away)2-0Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Holon Yermiyahu(away)2-1Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Holon Yermiyahu win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Hapoel Marmorek win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 30, 2026Holon Yermiyahu 1-2 Hapoel MarmorekLiga Alef
Sep 19, 2025Hapoel Marmorek 1-0 Holon YermiyahuLiga Alef
Feb 13, 2025Holon Yermiyahu 0-2 Hapoel MarmorekLiga Alef
Oct 15, 2024Hapoel Marmorek 1-1 Holon YermiyahuLiga Alef
Feb 16, 2024Holon Yermiyahu 3-0 Hapoel MarmorekLiga Alef
Oct 3, 2023Hapoel Marmorek 0-2 Holon YermiyahuLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Marmorek on Jan 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Holon Yermiyahu score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Marmorek score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Holon Yermiyahu1.31.549/158/15
Hapoel Marmorek0.91.347/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Holon Yermiyahu sit 11th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Marmorek sit 12th (24 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Holon Yermiyahu226610303324
12Hapoel Marmorek226610203424

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Marmorek?
The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Marmorek.
Where and when is Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Marmorek played?
Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Marmorek is played on September 9, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Holon Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Holon Yermiyahu and Hapoel Marmorek

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