Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Katamon: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sammy Ofer Stadium, Haifa
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Haifa the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Katamon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Katamon?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Hapoel Haifa (1,846) and Hapoel Katamon (1,835).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Haifa have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Katamon have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(home) | 4-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(home) | 1-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bnei Sakhnin(away) | 2-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(home) | 3-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(away) | 3-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv(home) | 2-5 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(away) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(home) | 3-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 2-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(home) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hapoel Haifa win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Hapoel Katamon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon 0-0 Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Hapoel Katamon 0-1 Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Hapoel Haifa 2-1 Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 1, 2025 | Hapoel Katamon 1-0 Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Hapoel Haifa 4-0 Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al |
| Feb 12, 2024 | Hapoel Haifa 2-3 Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Haifa on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Haifa score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Katamon score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Haifa | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Hapoel Katamon | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hapoel Katamon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | Hapoel Katamon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Katamon?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Haifa the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Katamon.
- Where and when is Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Katamon played?
- Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Katamon is played on February 27, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Sammy Ofer Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.