Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Doha Stadium, Sakhnin
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Beer Sheva the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Bnei Sakhnin. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Hapoel Beer Sheva is a heavy favourite: 2,074 Elo points against 1,716, a 358-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bnei Sakhnin have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Hapoel Beer Sheva have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(away) | 0-0 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(home) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(home) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(home) | 1-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Sabah FA(away) | 2-5 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sabah FA(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(away) | 0-4 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 11, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bnei Sakhnin win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Hapoel Beer Sheva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Bnei Sakhnin 0-5 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 3-1 Bnei Sakhnin | Ligat Ha'al |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Bnei Sakhnin 0-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 0-0 Bnei Sakhnin | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 25, 2024 | Bnei Sakhnin 4-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Apr 29, 2024 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1 Bnei Sakhnin | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Beer Sheva on Jan 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bnei Sakhnin score 0.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Beer Sheva score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bnei Sakhnin | 0.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1.7 | 1.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bnei Sakhnin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Beer Sheva the favourite at 65%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Bnei Sakhnin.
- Where and when is Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Beer Sheva played?
- Bnei Sakhnin vs Hapoel Beer Sheva is played on February 27, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Doha Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.