Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sammy Ofer Stadium, Haifa
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Beer Sheva the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Hapoel Haifa. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Hapoel Beer Sheva starts as the favourite with a 228-point Elo edge (2,074 vs 1,846).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Haifa have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Beer Sheva have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(home) | 4-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(home) | 1-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bnei Sakhnin(away) | 2-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(home) | 3-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(away) | 3-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Sabah FA(away) | 2-5 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sabah FA(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(away) | 0-4 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 11, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hapoel Haifa win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Hapoel Beer Sheva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa 4-0 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-1 Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Hapoel Haifa 3-4 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 24, 2025 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 5-0 Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Hapoel Haifa 1-2 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Hapoel Haifa 0-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Haifa score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Beer Sheva score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Haifa | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1.7 | 1.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Haifa sit 4th in Ligat Ha'al (34 points from 33 matches) and Hapoel Beer Sheva sit 1st (79 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 38 | 79 |
| 4 | Hapoel Haifa | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 39 | 51 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Beer Sheva the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Hapoel Haifa.
- Where and when is Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva played?
- Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva is played on December 12, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Sammy Ofer Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.