Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Nesher: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 30Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium, Migdal HaEmek
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Ironi Nesher. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Nesher?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Hapoel Migdal HaEmek (1,710) and Ironi Nesher (1,612).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Ironi Nesher have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 2-4 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tira(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Ironi Nesher win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 3-0 Ironi Nesher | Liga Alef |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Ironi Nesher 2-0 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
| Dec 3, 2024 | Ironi Nesher 0-3 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Ironi Nesher 0-1 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
| Sep 8, 2023 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1-0 Ironi Nesher | Liga Alef |
| Feb 24, 2023 | Ironi Nesher 2-1 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Nesher on Feb 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ironi Nesher score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 1.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Ironi Nesher | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek sit 8th in Liga Alef (31 points from 22 matches) and Ironi Nesher sit 11th (29 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 23 | 31 |
| 11 | Ironi Nesher | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Nesher?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Ironi Nesher.
- Where and when is Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Nesher played?
- Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Ironi Nesher is played on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Beitar NahariyavsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Mar 20, 2027Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Mar 20, 2027Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsHapoel Beit Shean
- Mar 20, 2027Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Mar 20, 2027Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsTzeirey Tamra
- Mar 20, 2027TiravsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Mar 20, 2027Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Mar 20, 2027Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsHapoel Nazareth Illit