Hapoel Katamon vs Ironi Tiberias: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Teddi Malcha Stadium, Jerusalem
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Katamon the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Ironi Tiberias. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Katamon vs Ironi Tiberias?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Hapoel Katamon (1,835) and Ironi Tiberias (1,810).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Katamon have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Ironi Tiberias have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv(home) | 2-5 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(away) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(home) | 3-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 2-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(home) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(home) | 1-0 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(home) | 0-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(away) | 2-4 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(home) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(away) | 1-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Hapoel Katamon win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Ironi Tiberias win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon 0-2 Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon 2-0 Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Ironi Tiberias 1-0 Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 3, 2025 | Hapoel Katamon 3-1 Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Hapoel Katamon 4-0 Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Ironi Tiberias 0-2 Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Katamon vs Ironi Tiberias on May 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Katamon score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ironi Tiberias score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Katamon | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Ironi Tiberias | 1.4 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Katamon sit 13th in Ligat Ha'al (0 points from 1 matches) and Ironi Tiberias sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ironi Tiberias | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Hapoel Katamon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | Hapoel Katamon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | Ironi Tiberias | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Katamon vs Ironi Tiberias?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Katamon the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Ironi Tiberias.
- Where and when is Hapoel Katamon vs Ironi Tiberias played?
- Hapoel Katamon vs Ironi Tiberias is played on January 2, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Teddi Malcha Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.