Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Tel Aviv: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Tel Aviv the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Hapoel Tel Aviv. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Hapoel Tel Aviv (2,038) and Maccabi Tel Aviv (2,079).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Tel Aviv have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Maccabi Tel Aviv have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 2-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 12, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(away) | 5-2 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Lugano(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(away) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 13, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hapoel Tel Aviv win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Maccabi Tel Aviv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-2 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv | State Cup |
| Jan 17, 2024 | Maccabi Tel Aviv 4-2 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-5 Maccabi Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Tel Aviv on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Tel Aviv score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Tel Aviv score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Tel Aviv the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Hapoel Tel Aviv.
- Where and when is Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Tel Aviv played?
- Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Tel Aviv is played on January 2, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Bloomfield Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.