Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Katamon: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Tiberias Municipal Stadium, Tiberias
The Footlab model makes Ironi Tiberias the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Katamon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Katamon?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Ironi Tiberias (1,828) and Hapoel Katamon (1,852).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Tiberias have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Katamon have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(home) | 1-0 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(home) | 0-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(away) | 2-4 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(home) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(away) | 1-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv(home) | 2-5 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(away) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(home) | 3-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 2-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(home) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ironi Tiberias win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Hapoel Katamon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon 0-2 Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon 2-0 Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Ironi Tiberias 1-0 Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 3, 2025 | Hapoel Katamon 3-1 Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Hapoel Katamon 4-0 Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Ironi Tiberias 0-2 Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Katamon vs Ironi Tiberias on May 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ironi Tiberias score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Katamon score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Tiberias | 1.4 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Hapoel Katamon | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ironi Tiberias sit 14th in Ligat Ha'al (0 points from 1 matches) and Hapoel Katamon sit 13th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ironi Tiberias | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Hapoel Katamon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | Hapoel Katamon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | Ironi Tiberias | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Katamon?
- The Footlab model makes Ironi Tiberias the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Katamon.
- Where and when is Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Katamon played?
- Ironi Tiberias vs Hapoel Katamon is played on September 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Tiberias Municipal Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.