Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Levita Stadium, Kfar-Saba
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Gat the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Hapoel Kfar Saba. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Hapoel Kfar Saba (1,710) and Maccabi Kiryat Gat (1,795).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Kfar Saba have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Maccabi Kiryat Gat have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(home) | 1-4 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 25, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(home) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 20, 2026 | Maccabi Herzliya(away) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 15, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(home) | 2-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion(home) | 1-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(away) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Kfar Saba score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Kiryat Gat score 2.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Kfar Saba | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 2.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Kfar Saba sit 15th in Liga Leumit (0 points from 2 matches) and Maccabi Kiryat Gat sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Gat the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Hapoel Kfar Saba.
- Where and when is Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat played?
- Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Maccabi Kiryat Gat is played on September 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Levita Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 10, 2026Hapoel AcrevsAshdod
- Sep 10, 2026Hapoel Rishon LeZionvsKiryat Yam SC
- Sep 10, 2026Maccabi HerzliyavsKafr Qasim
- Sep 10, 2026Hapoel Kfar ShalemvsMaccabi Ahi Nazareth
- Sep 10, 2026Ironi Modi'invsBnei Yehuda
- Sep 10, 2026Maccabi Bnei RainavsHapoel Afula
- Sep 10, 2026Maccabi Kabilio JaffavsHapoel Ra'anana