Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Shkhunat Hatikva Stadium, Tel Aviv
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Kfar Shalem the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Hapoel Kfar Shalem (1,781) and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (1,770).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Kfar Shalem have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Maccabi Ahi Nazareth have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bnei Yehuda(away) | 1-3 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Kafr Qasim(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 25, 2026 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion(away) | 6-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 20, 2026 | Kiryat Yam SC(home) | 2-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 15, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 1-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(home) | 0-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Hapoel Kfar Shalem win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2021 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 0-2 Hapoel Kfar Shalem | Liga Leumit |
| Jan 7, 2021 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem 2-2 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | Liga Leumit |
| Sep 17, 2020 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 3-0 Hapoel Kfar Shalem | Liga Leumit |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem on May 7, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Kfar Shalem score 2.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Ahi Nazareth score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Kfar Shalem sit 10th in Liga Leumit (3 points from 2 matches) and Maccabi Ahi Nazareth sit 13th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Kfar Shalem the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth.
- Where and when is Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth played?
- Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Maccabi Ahi Nazareth is played on September 10, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Shkhunat Hatikva Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.