Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Hapoel Azor: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 21Kick-off on January 29, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Moshava Training Field, Pétaḥ-Tiqva (Petach-Tikva)
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Mahane Yehuda the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Azor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Hapoel Azor?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Hapoel Mahane Yehuda (1,562) and Hapoel Azor (1,597).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Hapoel Azor have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | Hapoel Hod HaSharon(away) | 1-5 | State Cup |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Agudat Sport Ashdod(away) | 0-1 | State Cup |
| Oct 8, 2024 | Hapoel Kiryat Ono(away) | 2-1 | State Cup |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Maccabi Giv'at Shmuel(home) | 3-1 | State Cup |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla(away) | 4-2 | State Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Hapoel Azor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2023 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 2-1 Hapoel Azor | State Cup |
| Apr 24, 2019 | Hapoel Azor 5-3 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | Liga Alef |
| Jan 4, 2019 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 2-0 Hapoel Azor | Liga Alef |
| Apr 27, 2018 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 0-2 Hapoel Azor | Liga Alef |
| Dec 29, 2017 | Hapoel Azor 2-3 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | Liga Alef |
| Feb 17, 2017 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 0-0 Hapoel Azor | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Hapoel Azor on Sep 19, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Azor score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Hapoel Azor | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hapoel Azor | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 20 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Hapoel Azor?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Mahane Yehuda the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Azor.
- Where and when is Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Hapoel Azor played?
- Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Hapoel Azor is played on January 29, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Moshava Training Field, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 29, 2027Maccabi AshdodvsHapoel Hadera
- Jan 29, 2027Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsDimona
- Jan 30, 2027Hapoel SderotvsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Jan 30, 2027Maccabi YavnevsFC Jerusalem
- Jan 30, 2027Nordia JerusalemvsBeitar Yavne
- Jan 30, 2027Shimshon Tel AvivvsHapoel Marmorek
- Jan 30, 2027Tzeirey TiravsHapoel Herzliya
- Jan 30, 2027Kfar Saba 1928vsHolon Yermiyahu