Hapoel Azor vs Hapoel Sderot: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 22Kick-off on February 5, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Azor Stadium, Azor
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Sderot the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Azor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Azor vs Hapoel Sderot?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Hapoel Azor (1,597) and Hapoel Sderot (1,653).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Azor have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Hapoel Sderot have 2, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(away) | 1-2 | State Cup |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Hapoel Hadera(away) | 4-3 | State Cup |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Araba(home) | 2-1 | State Cup |
| Oct 2, 2018 | Maccabi Yavne(home) | 0-4 | State Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Azor score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Sderot score 1.8 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Azor | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Hapoel Sderot | 1.8 | 2.5 | 0 | 3/4 | 4/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hapoel Azor | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 20 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Azor vs Hapoel Sderot?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Sderot the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Azor.
- Where and when is Hapoel Azor vs Hapoel Sderot played?
- Hapoel Azor vs Hapoel Sderot is played on February 5, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Azor Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 5, 2027DimonavsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Feb 5, 2027Hapoel HerzliyavsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Feb 5, 2027Holon YermiyahuvsMaccabi Ashdod
- Feb 6, 2027Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Feb 6, 2027Hapoel MarmorekvsKfar Saba 1928
- Feb 6, 2027Hapoel HaderavsNordia Jerusalem
- Feb 6, 2027Beitar YavnevsMaccabi Yavne
- Feb 6, 2027FC JerusalemvsTzeirey Tira