Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Marmorek: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 21Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Moshava Training Field, Pétaḥ-Tiqva (Petach-Tikva)
The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Hapoel Marmorek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Marmorek?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Shimshon Tel Aviv (1,676) and Hapoel Marmorek (1,608).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shimshon Tel Aviv have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Marmorek have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(home) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(home) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Shimshon Tel Aviv win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Marmorek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 3-2 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 1-1 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Hapoel Marmorek 0-0 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
| May 3, 2024 | Hapoel Marmorek 0-0 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 0-0 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Jan 26, 2023 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 1-0 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Marmorek on Dec 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Shimshon Tel Aviv score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Marmorek score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shimshon Tel Aviv | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Hapoel Marmorek | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shimshon Tel Aviv sit 7th in Liga Alef (30 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Marmorek sit 12th (24 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 30 |
| 12 | Hapoel Marmorek | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 34 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Marmorek?
- The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Hapoel Marmorek.
- Where and when is Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Marmorek played?
- Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Marmorek is played on January 30, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Moshava Training Field, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 29, 2027Hapoel Mahane YehudavsHapoel Azor
- Jan 29, 2027Maccabi AshdodvsHapoel Hadera
- Jan 29, 2027Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsDimona
- Jan 30, 2027Hapoel SderotvsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Jan 30, 2027Maccabi YavnevsFC Jerusalem
- Jan 30, 2027Nordia JerusalemvsBeitar Yavne
- Jan 30, 2027Tzeirey TiravsHapoel Herzliya
- Jan 30, 2027Kfar Saba 1928vsHolon Yermiyahu