Where and when is Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda played?

Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda is played on December 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Moshava Training Field, in the Liga Alef.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 12Kick-off on December 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Moshava Training Field, Pétaḥ-Tiqva (Petach-Tikva)

Shimshon Tel Aviv

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda

The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?

Shimshon Tel Aviv starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,676 vs 1,562).

Shimshon Tel Aviv win40 %

Draw26 %

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shimshon Tel Aviv have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have 7, 0 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Shimshon Tel Aviv
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 26, 2026	Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home)	4-2	Liga Alef
Feb 19, 2026	Kfar Saba 1928(home)	0-0	Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026	Maccabi Yavne(away)	1-2	Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026	Holon Yermiyahu(home)	2-0	Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026	Maccabi Kiryat Gat(home)	1-3	Liga Alef

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jan 5, 2025	Hapoel Hod HaSharon(away)	1-5	State Cup
Nov 11, 2024	Agudat Sport Ashdod(away)	0-1	State Cup
Oct 8, 2024	Hapoel Kiryat Ono(away)	2-1	State Cup
Sep 24, 2024	Maccabi Giv'at Shmuel(home)	3-1	State Cup
Sep 6, 2024	Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla(away)	4-2	State Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Shimshon Tel Aviv score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Mahane Yehuda score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Shimshon Tel Aviv	1.3	1.0	6	7/15	5/15
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	1.7	1.9	2	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Shimshon Tel Aviv	22	8	6	8	28	28	30

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda?: The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda.
Where and when is Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda played?: Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda is played on December 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Moshava Training Field, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.