Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Holon Yermiyahu: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 27Kick-off on March 5, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Moshava Training Field, Pétaḥ-Tiqva (Petach-Tikva)
The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Holon Yermiyahu?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Hapoel Mahane Yehuda (1,562) and Holon Yermiyahu (1,655).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Holon Yermiyahu have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | Hapoel Hod HaSharon(away) | 1-5 | State Cup |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Agudat Sport Ashdod(away) | 0-1 | State Cup |
| Oct 8, 2024 | Hapoel Kiryat Ono(away) | 2-1 | State Cup |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Maccabi Giv'at Shmuel(home) | 3-1 | State Cup |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla(away) | 4-2 | State Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(away) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Holon Yermiyahu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2019 | Holon Yermiyahu 2-0 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | Liga Alef |
| Sep 14, 2018 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 0-1 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Apr 4, 2018 | Holon Yermiyahu 0-0 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | Liga Alef |
| Dec 8, 2017 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 0-1 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Holon Yermiyahu vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda on Jan 18, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Holon Yermiyahu score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Holon Yermiyahu | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Holon Yermiyahu | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 33 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Holon Yermiyahu?
- The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda.
- Where and when is Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Holon Yermiyahu played?
- Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Holon Yermiyahu is played on March 5, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Moshava Training Field, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Mar 5, 2027Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsHapoel Marmorek
- Mar 5, 2027Nordia JerusalemvsMaccabi Ashdod
- Mar 6, 2027DimonavsFC Jerusalem
- Mar 6, 2027Hapoel HerzliyavsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Mar 6, 2027Hapoel SderotvsHapoel Hadera
- Mar 6, 2027Maccabi YavnevsKfar Saba 1928
- Mar 6, 2027Tzeirey TiravsShimshon Tel Aviv