Match

Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Ashdod: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 27Kick-off on March 5, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, Jerusalem

Nordia JerusalemMaccabi Ashdod

The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Nordia Jerusalem. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Ashdod?

A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Nordia Jerusalem (1,626) and Maccabi Ashdod (1,670).

Nordia Jerusalem win33 %
Draw24 %
Maccabi Ashdod win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nordia Jerusalem have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Maccabi Ashdod have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nordia Jerusalem
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2026Hapoel Azor(away)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026FC Jerusalem(home)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Tzeirey Tira(away)2-5Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home)2-2Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Kfar Saba 1928(away)1-2Liga Alef
Maccabi Ashdod
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Hapoel Marmorek(away)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026FC Jerusalem(away)3-3Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Tzeirey Tira(home)0-3Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away)3-2Liga Alef
Jan 23, 2026Kfar Saba 1928(home)1-1Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Nordia Jerusalem win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Maccabi Ashdod win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 19, 2025Maccabi Ashdod 3-3 Nordia JerusalemLiga Alef
Apr 4, 2025Maccabi Ashdod 2-1 Nordia JerusalemLiga Alef
Dec 10, 2024Nordia Jerusalem 0-1 Maccabi AshdodLiga Alef
Apr 4, 2024Nordia Jerusalem 1-1 Maccabi AshdodLiga Alef
Jan 15, 2024Maccabi Ashdod 1-1 Nordia JerusalemLiga Alef
Feb 18, 2022Nordia Jerusalem 0-1 Maccabi AshdodLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Maccabi Ashdod vs Nordia Jerusalem on Dec 19, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Ashdod score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nordia Jerusalem1.51.9211/1511/15
Maccabi Ashdod2.01.9211/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nordia Jerusalem sit 16th in Liga Alef (15 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Ashdod sit 10th (28 points from 21 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Maccabi Ashdod21777373528
16Nordia Jerusalem223613284015

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Ashdod?
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Nordia Jerusalem.
Where and when is Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Ashdod played?
Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Ashdod is played on March 5, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Nordia Jerusalem and Maccabi Ashdod

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