Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Ashdod: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 27Kick-off on March 5, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, Jerusalem
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Nordia Jerusalem. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Ashdod?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Nordia Jerusalem (1,626) and Maccabi Ashdod (1,670).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nordia Jerusalem have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Maccabi Ashdod have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 2-5 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Nordia Jerusalem win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Maccabi Ashdod win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | Maccabi Ashdod 3-3 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Maccabi Ashdod 2-1 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Nordia Jerusalem 0-1 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Apr 4, 2024 | Nordia Jerusalem 1-1 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Jan 15, 2024 | Maccabi Ashdod 1-1 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Feb 18, 2022 | Nordia Jerusalem 0-1 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Ashdod vs Nordia Jerusalem on Dec 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Nordia Jerusalem score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Ashdod score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nordia Jerusalem | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Maccabi Ashdod | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nordia Jerusalem sit 16th in Liga Alef (15 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Ashdod sit 10th (28 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Maccabi Ashdod | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 28 |
| 16 | Nordia Jerusalem | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 40 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Ashdod?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Nordia Jerusalem.
- Where and when is Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Ashdod played?
- Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Ashdod is played on March 5, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 5, 2027Hapoel AzorvsBeitar Yavne
- Mar 5, 2027Hapoel Mahane YehudavsHolon Yermiyahu
- Mar 5, 2027Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsHapoel Marmorek
- Mar 6, 2027DimonavsFC Jerusalem
- Mar 6, 2027Hapoel HerzliyavsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Mar 6, 2027Hapoel SderotvsHapoel Hadera
- Mar 6, 2027Maccabi YavnevsKfar Saba 1928
- Mar 6, 2027Tzeirey TiravsShimshon Tel Aviv