Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Ashdod: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 27Kick-off on March 5, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, Jerusalem
The Footlab AI model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Nordia Jerusalem. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,831 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Ashdod?
Maccabi Ashdod starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,647 vs 1,496).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Ashdod
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nordia Jerusalem
Not enough data to predict the Nordia Jerusalem lineup.
Maccabi Ashdod
Not enough data to predict the Maccabi Ashdod lineup.
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 04:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nordia Jerusalem have 0 wins, 3 draws and 12 defeats; Maccabi Ashdod have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(away) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-4 | Liga Alef |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 0-5 | Liga Alef |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Hapoel Hadera(home) | 0-4 | Liga Alef |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Ironi Beit Shemesh(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(home) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Hapoel Hadera(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Nordia Jerusalem wins, 3 draws, 3 Maccabi Ashdod wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | Maccabi Ashdod 3-3 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Maccabi Ashdod 2-1 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Nordia Jerusalem 0-1 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Apr 4, 2024 | Nordia Jerusalem 1-1 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Jan 15, 2024 | Maccabi Ashdod 1-1 Nordia Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Feb 18, 2022 | Nordia Jerusalem 0-1 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Ashdod vs Nordia Jerusalem on Dec 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Nordia Jerusalem score 0.8 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Ashdod score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nordia Jerusalem | 0.8 | 2.7 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Maccabi Ashdod | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nordia Jerusalem sit 16th in Liga Alef (15 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Ashdod sit 10th (28 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Maccabi Ashdod | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 28 |
| 16 | Nordia Jerusalem | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 40 | 15 |
A question about Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Ashdod?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Ashdod?
- The Footlab AI model makes Maccabi Ashdod the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Nordia Jerusalem.
- Where and when is Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Ashdod played?
- Nordia Jerusalem vs Maccabi Ashdod is played on March 5, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Jerusalem Cedar Valley 2 grass, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 5, 2027Hapoel AzorvsBeitar Yavne
- Mar 5, 2027Hapoel Mahane YehudavsHolon Yermiyahu
- Mar 5, 2027Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsHapoel Marmorek
- Mar 6, 2027DimonavsFC Jerusalem
- Mar 6, 2027Hapoel HerzliyavsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Mar 6, 2027Hapoel SderotvsHapoel Hadera
- Mar 6, 2027Maccabi YavnevsKfar Saba 1928
- Mar 6, 2027Tzeirey TiravsShimshon Tel Aviv