Match

Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Sderot: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 30Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Moshava Training Field, Pétaḥ-Tiqva (Petach-Tikva)

Shimshon Tel AvivHapoel Sderot

The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Sderot. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Sderot?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Shimshon Tel Aviv (1,676) and Hapoel Sderot (1,653).

Shimshon Tel Aviv win38 %
Draw27 %
Hapoel Sderot win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shimshon Tel Aviv have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Sderot have 2, 0 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Shimshon Tel Aviv
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2026Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home)4-2Liga Alef
Feb 19, 2026Kfar Saba 1928(home)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026Maccabi Yavne(away)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026Holon Yermiyahu(home)2-0Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Maccabi Kiryat Gat(home)1-3Liga Alef
Hapoel Sderot
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Dec 27, 2025Hapoel Beer Sheva(away)1-2State Cup
Oct 29, 2025Hapoel Hadera(away)4-3State Cup
Sep 30, 2025Araba(home)2-1State Cup
Oct 2, 2018Maccabi Yavne(home)0-4State Cup

How many goals should we expect?

Shimshon Tel Aviv score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Sderot score 1.8 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Shimshon Tel Aviv1.31.067/155/15
Hapoel Sderot1.82.503/44/4

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Shimshon Tel Aviv22868282830

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Sderot?
The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Sderot.
Where and when is Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Sderot played?
Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Sderot is played on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Moshava Training Field, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Shimshon Tel Aviv and Hapoel Sderot

Ready to know everything about football?