Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Sderot: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 30Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Moshava Training Field, Pétaḥ-Tiqva (Petach-Tikva)
The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Sderot. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Sderot?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Shimshon Tel Aviv (1,676) and Hapoel Sderot (1,653).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shimshon Tel Aviv have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Sderot have 2, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(home) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(home) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(away) | 1-2 | State Cup |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Hapoel Hadera(away) | 4-3 | State Cup |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Araba(home) | 2-1 | State Cup |
| Oct 2, 2018 | Maccabi Yavne(home) | 0-4 | State Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Shimshon Tel Aviv score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Sderot score 1.8 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shimshon Tel Aviv | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Hapoel Sderot | 1.8 | 2.5 | 0 | 3/4 | 4/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Sderot?
- The Footlab model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Sderot.
- Where and when is Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Sderot played?
- Shimshon Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Sderot is played on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Moshava Training Field, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 19, 2027Hapoel MarmorekvsHapoel Azor
- Mar 19, 2027Maccabi AshdodvsMaccabi Kiryat Malachi
- Mar 19, 2027Kfar Saba 1928vsHapoel Mahane Yehuda
- Mar 20, 2027Hapoel Ramat HaSharonvsMaccabi Yavne
- Mar 20, 2027Hapoel HaderavsHapoel Herzliya
- Mar 20, 2027Holon YermiyahuvsDimona
- Mar 20, 2027Nordia JerusalemvsTzeirey Tira
- Mar 20, 2027Beitar YavnevsFC Jerusalem