Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium, Migdal HaEmek
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed?
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek starts as the favourite with a 196-point Elo edge (1,711 vs 1,515).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 2-4 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 3-1 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | Liga Alef |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 0-0 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 0-0 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 4-0 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | Liga Alef |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 3-3 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2024 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1-1 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed on Jan 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek score 1.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 1.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek sit 8th in Liga Alef (31 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed sit 14th (17 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 23 | 31 |
| 14 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 36 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed.
- Where and when is Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed played?
- Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed is played on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 23, 2027Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsHapoel Beit Shean
- Jan 23, 2027Beitar NahariyavsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Jan 23, 2027Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Jan 23, 2027TiravsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Jan 23, 2027Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Jan 23, 2027Tzeirey TamravsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Jan 23, 2027Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Jan 23, 2027Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsIroni Nesher