Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 3Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Kaukab Stadium, Kaukab Abu al-Hija
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek?
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek starts as the favourite with a 196-point Elo edge (1,711 vs 1,515).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 26, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 2-4 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 3-1 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | Liga Alef |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 0-0 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 0-0 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 4-0 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | Liga Alef |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 3-3 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2024 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1-1 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Migdal HaEmek vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed on Jan 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Migdal HaEmek score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 1.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed sit 14th in Liga Alef (17 points from 21 matches) and Hapoel Migdal HaEmek sit 8th (31 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 23 | 31 |
| 14 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 36 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed.
- Where and when is Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek played?
- Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Kaukab Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Sep 19, 2026Ironi NeshervsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Sep 19, 2026Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsBeitar Nahariya
- Sep 19, 2026Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsTira
- Sep 19, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsTzeirey Tamra
- Sep 19, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Sep 19, 2026Hapoel Beit SheanvsHapoel Nazareth Illit
- Sep 19, 2026Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik