Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Beit Shean: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Green Stadium, Nazareth Illit
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Nazareth Illit the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Beit Shean. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Beit Shean?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Hapoel Nazareth Illit (1,660) and Hapoel Beit Shean (1,653).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Nazareth Illit have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Hapoel Beit Shean have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(home) | 2-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(home) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 15, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(away) | 1-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 11, 2026 | Kafr Qasim(away) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 4, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Tira(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Nazareth Illit score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Beit Shean score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Nazareth Illit | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Hapoel Beit Shean | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hapoel Beit Shean | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 27 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Beit Shean?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Nazareth Illit the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Beit Shean.
- Where and when is Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Beit Shean played?
- Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Beit Shean is played on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Green Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 23, 2027Beitar NahariyavsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Jan 23, 2027Hapoel Migdal HaEmekvsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Jan 23, 2027Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Jan 23, 2027TiravsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Jan 23, 2027Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Jan 23, 2027Tzeirey TamravsHapoel Tirat HaCarmel
- Jan 23, 2027Maccabi K. Ata BialikvsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Jan 23, 2027Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsIroni Nesher