Match

Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Beit Shean: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Green Stadium, Nazareth Illit

Hapoel Nazareth IllitHapoel Beit Shean

The Footlab model makes Hapoel Nazareth Illit the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Beit Shean. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Beit Shean?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Hapoel Nazareth Illit (1,660) and Hapoel Beit Shean (1,653).

Hapoel Nazareth Illit win37 %
Draw27 %
Hapoel Beit Shean win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Nazareth Illit have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Hapoel Beit Shean have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Nazareth Illit
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 25, 2026Hapoel Acre(home)2-2Liga Leumit
May 19, 2026Ironi Modi'in(home)0-2Liga Leumit
May 15, 2026Hapoel Afula(away)1-2Liga Leumit
May 11, 2026Kafr Qasim(away)1-1Liga Leumit
May 4, 2026Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away)0-2Liga Leumit
Hapoel Beit Shean
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 26, 2026Tira(home)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 19, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away)1-0Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away)3-2Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Bnei Musmus(away)1-0Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away)2-2Liga Alef

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Nazareth Illit score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Beit Shean score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hapoel Nazareth Illit1.31.739/157/15
Hapoel Beit Shean1.30.776/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Hapoel Beit Shean22886282732

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Beit Shean?
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Nazareth Illit the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Beit Shean.
Where and when is Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Beit Shean played?
Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Hapoel Beit Shean is played on January 23, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Green Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hapoel Nazareth Illit and Hapoel Beit Shean

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