Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 3Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Beit-She'an Municipal Stadium, Beit She'an
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Beit Shean the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Nazareth Illit. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Hapoel Beit Shean (1,653) and Hapoel Nazareth Illit (1,660).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Beit Shean have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Hapoel Nazareth Illit have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Tira(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(home) | 2-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(home) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 15, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(away) | 1-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 11, 2026 | Kafr Qasim(away) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 4, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Beit Shean score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Nazareth Illit score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Beit Shean | 1.3 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Hapoel Nazareth Illit | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hapoel Beit Shean | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 27 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Beit Shean the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Nazareth Illit.
- Where and when is Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit played?
- Hapoel Beit Shean vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Beit-She'an Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 19, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsIroni Baka El Garbiya
- Sep 19, 2026Ironi NeshervsTzeirei Umm al-Fahm
- Sep 19, 2026Hapoel Bnei MusmusvsBeitar Nahariya
- Sep 19, 2026Hapoel Ihud Bnei JattvsTira
- Sep 19, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsTzeirey Tamra
- Sep 19, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Sep 19, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat AhmedvsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Sep 19, 2026Hapoel Ironi ArrabavsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik