Where and when is Hapoel Sderot vs Shimshon Tel Aviv played?

Hapoel Sderot vs Shimshon Tel Aviv is played on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Alef.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hapoel Sderot vs Shimshon Tel Aviv: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 13Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

Hapoel Sderot

Shimshon Tel Aviv

The Footlab model makes Hapoel Sderot the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 37% for Shimshon Tel Aviv. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Sderot vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Hapoel Sderot (1,653) and Shimshon Tel Aviv (1,676).

Hapoel Sderot win37 %

Draw27 %

Shimshon Tel Aviv win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Sderot have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Shimshon Tel Aviv have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Sderot
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Dec 27, 2025	Hapoel Beer Sheva(away)	1-2	State Cup
Oct 29, 2025	Hapoel Hadera(away)	4-3	State Cup
Sep 30, 2025	Araba(home)	2-1	State Cup
Oct 2, 2018	Maccabi Yavne(home)	0-4	State Cup

Shimshon Tel Aviv
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 26, 2026	Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home)	4-2	Liga Alef
Feb 19, 2026	Kfar Saba 1928(home)	0-0	Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026	Maccabi Yavne(away)	1-2	Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026	Holon Yermiyahu(home)	2-0	Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026	Maccabi Kiryat Gat(home)	1-3	Liga Alef

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Sderot score 1.8 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 4; Shimshon Tel Aviv score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hapoel Sderot	1.8	2.5	0	3/4	4/4
Shimshon Tel Aviv	1.3	1.0	6	7/15	5/15

Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Shimshon Tel Aviv	22	8	6	8	28	28	30

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Sderot vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?: The Footlab model makes Hapoel Sderot the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 37% for Shimshon Tel Aviv.
Where and when is Hapoel Sderot vs Shimshon Tel Aviv played?: Hapoel Sderot vs Shimshon Tel Aviv is played on December 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.