Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Kfar Saba 1928: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 13Kick-off on December 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Moshava Training Field, Pétaḥ-Tiqva (Petach-Tikva)
The Footlab model makes Kfar Saba 1928 the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Kfar Saba 1928?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Hapoel Mahane Yehuda (1,562) and Kfar Saba 1928 (1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Kfar Saba 1928 have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | Hapoel Hod HaSharon(away) | 1-5 | State Cup |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Agudat Sport Ashdod(away) | 0-1 | State Cup |
| Oct 8, 2024 | Hapoel Kiryat Ono(away) | 2-1 | State Cup |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Maccabi Giv'at Shmuel(home) | 3-1 | State Cup |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla(away) | 4-2 | State Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(home) | 2-4 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(home) | 1-4 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Dimona(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kfar Saba 1928 score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Kfar Saba 1928 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kfar Saba 1928 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 28 | 31 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Kfar Saba 1928?
- The Footlab model makes Kfar Saba 1928 the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda.
- Where and when is Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Kfar Saba 1928 played?
- Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Kfar Saba 1928 is played on December 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Moshava Training Field, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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