Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Maccabi Ashdod: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 13Kick-off on December 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kiryat Malachi Stadium, Kiryat Malakhi
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Malachi the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Maccabi Ashdod. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Maccabi Ashdod?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Maccabi Kiryat Malachi (1,645) and Maccabi Ashdod (1,670).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Kiryat Malachi have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Maccabi Ashdod have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Maccabi Ashdod win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | Maccabi Ashdod 5-0 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | Liga Alef |
| Jan 17, 2025 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1-1 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Maccabi Ashdod 0-0 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | Liga Alef |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Maccabi Ashdod 0-1 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | Liga Alef |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 0-3 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Ashdod vs Maccabi Kiryat Malachi on Nov 28, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Ashdod score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Maccabi Ashdod | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi sit 5th in Liga Alef (35 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Ashdod sit 10th (28 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 27 | 35 |
| 10 | Maccabi Ashdod | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Maccabi Ashdod?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Kiryat Malachi the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Maccabi Ashdod.
- Where and when is Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Maccabi Ashdod played?
- Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Maccabi Ashdod is played on December 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Kiryat Malachi Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 11, 2026Hapoel AzorvsHapoel Marmorek
- Dec 11, 2026Hapoel Mahane YehudavsKfar Saba 1928
- Dec 12, 2026DimonavsHolon Yermiyahu
- Dec 12, 2026Hapoel HerzliyavsHapoel Hadera
- Dec 12, 2026Hapoel SderotvsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Dec 12, 2026Maccabi YavnevsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Dec 12, 2026Tzeirey TiravsNordia Jerusalem
- Dec 12, 2026FC JerusalemvsBeitar Yavne