Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Conference LeaguePlayoff roundKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv
The Footlab model makes Atalanta the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Tel Aviv. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?
Atalanta starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (2,186 vs 2,049).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Tel Aviv have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Atalanta have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 2-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 12, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Ludogorets(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Athletic Club(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Schalke 04(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Feyenoord(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | Fiorentina(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| May 17, 2026 | Bologna(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Tel Aviv score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atalanta score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Atalanta | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta?
- The Footlab model makes Atalanta the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Hapoel Tel Aviv.
- Where and when is Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta played?
- Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta is played on August 27, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Bloomfield Stadium, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.