Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 11Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium, Tirat Carmel
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Arraba the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel (1,521) and Hapoel Ironi Arraba (1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have 1 wins, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Hapoel Ironi Arraba have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Ironi Arraba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba 3-0 Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel on Dec 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Ironi Arraba score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel sit 15th in Liga Alef (12 points from 21 matches) and Hapoel Ironi Arraba sit 13th (21 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 30 | 39 | 21 |
| 15 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 42 | 12 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Ironi Arraba the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.
- Where and when is Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba played?
- Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Nov 28, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Nov 28, 2026Ironi NeshervsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Nov 28, 2026Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsBeitar Nahariya
- Nov 28, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Nov 28, 2026Hapoel Beit SheanvsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Nov 28, 2026Tzeirey TamravsTira
- Nov 28, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel