Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 11Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nesher Municipal Stadium, Nesher
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Bnei Musmus the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Ironi Nesher. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Ironi Nesher (1,612) and Hapoel Bnei Musmus (1,697).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ironi Nesher have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hapoel Bnei Musmus have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tira(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Beit Shean(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Ironi Nesher win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Hapoel Bnei Musmus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | Ironi Nesher 1-3 Hapoel Bnei Musmus | Liga Alef |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1-1 Ironi Nesher | Liga Alef |
| Jan 10, 2025 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1-0 Ironi Nesher | Liga Alef |
| Sep 16, 2019 | Ironi Nesher 3-2 Hapoel Bnei Musmus | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus on Jan 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ironi Nesher score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Bnei Musmus score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ironi Nesher | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ironi Nesher sit 11th in Liga Alef (29 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Bnei Musmus sit 6th (33 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 28 | 33 |
| 11 | Ironi Nesher | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Bnei Musmus the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Ironi Nesher.
- Where and when is Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus played?
- Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Nesher Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Nov 28, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Nov 28, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Nov 28, 2026Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsBeitar Nahariya
- Nov 28, 2026Maccabi Neve Sha'ananvsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Nov 28, 2026Hapoel Beit SheanvsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Nov 28, 2026Tzeirey TamravsTira
- Nov 28, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel