Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 11Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Athos Haifa Lot 1, Haifa
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Maccabi Neve Sha'anan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Maccabi Neve Sha'anan (1,674) and Hapoel Migdal HaEmek (1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Neve Sha'anan have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(home) | 3-5 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(away) | 1-4 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 2-4 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Maccabi Neve Sha'anan win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan 0-0 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1-2 Maccabi Neve Sha'anan | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Migdal HaEmek score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Neve Sha'anan | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 1.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan sit 4th in Liga Alef (36 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Migdal HaEmek sit 8th (31 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 36 |
| 8 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 23 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Maccabi Neve Sha'anan.
- Where and when is Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek played?
- Maccabi Neve Sha'anan vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Athos Haifa Lot 1, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Nov 28, 2026Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Nov 28, 2026Ironi NeshervsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Nov 28, 2026Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Nov 28, 2026Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsBeitar Nahariya
- Nov 28, 2026Hapoel Beit SheanvsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Nov 28, 2026Tzeirey TamravsTira
- Nov 28, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Ironi Karmiel