Happy Valley vs Southern District: result 1-1 and analysis
HKFA 1st DivisionRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 20, 2011 at 07:15 AM (UTC)Sham Shui Po Sports Ground, Kowloon
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What was the result of Happy Valley vs Southern District?
Happy Valley and Southern District drew 1-1 on November 20, 2011.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Happy Valley have 5 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Southern District have 4, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2011 | Shatin(away) | 1-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 30, 2011 | Rangers(away) | 0-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 16, 2011 | Yuen Long(away) | 0-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 9, 2011 | Kwun Tong(home) | 2-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 2, 2011 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 1-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2011 | Rangers(away) | 1-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 30, 2011 | Yuen Long(home) | 3-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 16, 2011 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 0-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 9, 2011 | Wanchai(away) | 3-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 2, 2011 | Kwun Tong(home) | 2-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Happy Valley score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 8; Southern District score 1.8 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Happy Valley | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 2/8 | 3/8 |
| Southern District | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1 | 5/8 | 3/8 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy