Hartberg (Am) vs Tillmitsch: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SouthSouth - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Hartberg (Am) the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Tillmitsch. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hartberg (Am) vs Tillmitsch?
Tillmitsch starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,683 vs 1,509).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Hartberg (Am) have 0 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Tillmitsch have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Deutschlandsberger SC(away) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SV Lafnitz(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Gleisdorf 09(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Lafnitz(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gleisdorf 09(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - South |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kalsdorf(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fürstenfeld(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | SKN ST. Polten(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Hartberg (Am) score 0.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 3; Tillmitsch score 2.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hartberg (Am) | 0.7 | 2.3 | 0 | 1/3 | 2/3 |
| Tillmitsch | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hartberg (Am) sit 16th in Regionalliga - South (1 points from 3 matches) and Tillmitsch sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tillmitsch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 16 | Hartberg (Am) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hartberg (Am) vs Tillmitsch?
- The Footlab model makes Hartberg (Am) the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Tillmitsch.
- Where and when is Hartberg (Am) vs Tillmitsch played?
- Hartberg (Am) vs Tillmitsch is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC), in the Regionalliga - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.