Hartlepool vs Carlisle: result 3-1 and analysis
National LeagueRegular Season - 35Kick-off on February 25, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Suit Direct Stadium, Hartlepool, County Durham
Full time
What was the result of Hartlepool vs Carlisle?
Hartlepool won 3-1 on February 25, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 12′T. SinclairHartlepool
- 46′A. ReidHartlepool
- 77′C. OkikeHartlepool
- 80′G. KellyCarlisle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hartlepool have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Carlisle have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 4-3 | National League |
| Feb 11, 2026 | York(away) | 2-3 | National League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 0-3 | National League |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 0-0 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Yeovil Town(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 3-1 | National League |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 3-2 | National League |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 3-1 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hartlepool win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Carlisle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2025 | Carlisle 3-1 Hartlepool | National League |
| Jan 24, 2023 | Carlisle 3-1 Hartlepool | League Two |
| Oct 8, 2022 | Hartlepool 1-3 Carlisle | League Two |
| Jan 18, 2022 | Carlisle 0-0 Hartlepool | League Two |
| Aug 31, 2021 | Carlisle 3-3 Hartlepool | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Hartlepool 2-1 Carlisle | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Carlisle vs Hartlepool on Oct 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hartlepool score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hartlepool | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Carlisle | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hartlepool sit 5th in National League (6 points from 3 matches) and Carlisle sit 12th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hartlepool | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 12 | Carlisle | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy