Hartlepool vs Colchester: result 0-1 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 17, 2011 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Suit Direct Stadium, Hartlepool, County Durham
Full time
What was the result of Hartlepool vs Colchester?
Colchester won 0-1 on December 17, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 36′A. WordsworthColchester
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hartlepool have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Colchester have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2011 | Brentford(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Nov 29, 2011 | Preston(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Nov 26, 2011 | Yeovil Town(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Nov 19, 2011 | Scunthorpe(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Nov 12, 2011 | Stevenage(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2011 | Bury(home) | 4-1 | League One |
| Dec 3, 2011 | Swindon Town(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Nov 26, 2011 | Carlisle(away) | 0-1 | League One |
| Nov 19, 2011 | Milton Keynes Dons(home) | 1-5 | League One |
| Nov 12, 2011 | Crewe(away) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Hartlepool score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Colchester score 1.4 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hartlepool | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Colchester | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy