Where and when is Hatayspor vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik played?

Hatayspor vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik is played on November 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mersin Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hatayspor vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 12Kick-off on November 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mersin Stadyumu, Mersin

Hatayspor

İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik

The Footlab model makes İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Hatayspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hatayspor vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik?

A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Hatayspor (1,578) and İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik (1,668).

Hatayspor win31 %

Draw25 %

İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hatayspor have 2 wins, 1 draws and 12 defeats; İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik have 10, 4 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hatayspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 1, 2026	Vanspor FK(home)	3-1	1. Lig
Apr 25, 2026	Serik Spor(away)	2-4	1. Lig
Apr 18, 2026	Sakaryaspor(home)	1-1	1. Lig
Apr 11, 2026	Sarıyer(away)	0-4	1. Lig
Apr 7, 2026	Adana Demirspor(home)	4-0	1. Lig

İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Bursa Yıldırımspor(home)	3-1	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026	Kestel Çilek(away)	2-1	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026	Galata(away)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 1
Mar 29, 2026	Beykoz İshaklıspor(home)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 1
Mar 25, 2026	İnkılapspor(away)	1-3	3. Lig - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Hatayspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Oct 30, 2024	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik 0-4 Hatayspor	Türkiye Kupası

Last archived meeting: İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik vs Hatayspor on Oct 30, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Hatayspor score 1.0 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 15; İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik score 1.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hatayspor	1.0	2.8	1	8/15	13/15
İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik	1.6	0.9	5	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hatayspor vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik?: The Footlab model makes İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Hatayspor.
Where and when is Hatayspor vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik played?: Hatayspor vs İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik is played on November 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mersin Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.