Şanlıurfaspor vs Erbaaspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 12Kick-off on November 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Şanlıurfa 11 Nisan Stadyumu, Şanlıurfa
The Footlab model makes Şanlıurfaspor the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Erbaaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Şanlıurfaspor vs Erbaaspor?
Şanlıurfaspor starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,757 vs 1,600).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Şanlıurfaspor have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Erbaaspor have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ankaraspor(home) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kastamonuspor(home) | 5-2 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ankaragücü(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Elazığspor(away) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(home) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | 24 Erzincanspor(away) | 2-3 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Şanlıurfaspor win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Erbaaspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Erbaaspor 0-0 Şanlıurfaspor | 2. Lig |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Şanlıurfaspor 2-2 Erbaaspor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Erbaaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Şanlıurfaspor score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Erbaaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Şanlıurfaspor | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Erbaaspor | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Şanlıurfaspor sit 5th in 2. Lig (65 points from 36 matches) and Erbaaspor sit 15th (34 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Şanlıurfaspor | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 63 | 43 | 65 |
| 15 | Erbaaspor | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 40 | 61 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Şanlıurfaspor vs Erbaaspor?
- The Footlab model makes Şanlıurfaspor the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Erbaaspor.
- Where and when is Şanlıurfaspor vs Erbaaspor played?
- Şanlıurfaspor vs Erbaaspor is played on November 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Şanlıurfa 11 Nisan Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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