Hatayspor vs Ankaraspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mersin Stadyumu, Mersin
The Footlab model makes Ankaraspor the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Hatayspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hatayspor vs Ankaraspor?
Ankaraspor starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,695 vs 1,578).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hatayspor have 2 wins, 1 draws and 12 defeats; Ankaraspor have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Vanspor FK(home) | 3-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Serik Spor(away) | 2-4 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sakaryaspor(home) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sarıyer(away) | 0-4 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Adana Demirspor(home) | 4-0 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Şanlıurfaspor(away) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Karaman FK(home) | 5-4 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Karacabey Belediyespor(away) | 3-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(home) | 2-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Altınordu(away) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Hatayspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ankaraspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2020 | Hatayspor 1-0 Ankaraspor | 1. Lig |
| Oct 6, 2019 | Ankaraspor 0-1 Hatayspor | 1. Lig |
| Mar 16, 2019 | Ankaraspor 1-3 Hatayspor | 1. Lig |
| Oct 21, 2018 | Hatayspor 0-0 Ankaraspor | 1. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Hatayspor vs Ankaraspor on Feb 25, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Hatayspor score 1.0 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ankaraspor score 1.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hatayspor | 1.0 | 2.8 | 1 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| Ankaraspor | 1.8 | 2.1 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Ankaraspor | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 64 | 54 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hatayspor vs Ankaraspor?
- The Footlab model makes Ankaraspor the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Hatayspor.
- Where and when is Hatayspor vs Ankaraspor played?
- Hatayspor vs Ankaraspor is played on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mersin Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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