Havant & Wville vs Basingstoke Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Westleigh Park, Havant, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Havant & Wville the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Basingstoke Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Havant & Wville vs Basingstoke Town?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Havant & Wville (1,744) and Basingstoke Town (1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Havant & Wville have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Basingstoke Town have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Uxbridge(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Salisbury(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bath City(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poole Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Evesham United(home) | 2-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Havant & Wville win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Basingstoke Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Havant & Wville 0-0 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Basingstoke Town 1-3 Havant & Wville | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Basingstoke Town 0-3 Havant & Wville | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Havant & Wville 5-1 Basingstoke Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Nov 28, 2015 | Havant & Wville 2-1 Basingstoke Town | FA Trophy |
| Dec 2, 2013 | Havant & Wville 1-0 Basingstoke Town | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Havant & Wville vs Basingstoke Town on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Havant & Wville score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Basingstoke Town score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Havant & Wville | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Basingstoke Town | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Havant & Wville sit 21st in Non League Premier - Southern South (3 points from 4 matches) and Basingstoke Town sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Basingstoke Town | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 21 | Havant & Wville | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Havant & Wville vs Basingstoke Town?
- The Footlab model makes Havant & Wville the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Basingstoke Town.
- Where and when is Havant & Wville vs Basingstoke Town played?
- Havant & Wville vs Basingstoke Town is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Westleigh Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 13, 2026BerkhamstedvsUxbridge
- Oct 13, 2026Bracknell TownvsHanworth Villa
- Oct 13, 2026Evesham UnitedvsBath City
- Oct 13, 2026Hanwell TownvsChertsey Town
- Oct 13, 2026SholingvsChichester City
- Oct 13, 2026Chippenham TownvsFrome Town
- Oct 13, 2026Gloucester CityvsTaunton Town
- Oct 13, 2026Malvern TownvsYate Town