Havant & Wville vs Yate Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Westleigh Park, Havant, Hampshire
The Footlab model makes Havant & Wville the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Yate Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Havant & Wville vs Yate Town?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Havant & Wville (1,748) and Yate Town (1,778).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Havant & Wville have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Yate Town have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Uxbridge(home) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Berkhamsted(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Salisbury(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bracknell Town(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chippenham Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gosport Borough(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Leamington(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Havant & Wville win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Yate Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Havant & Wville 1-3 Yate Town | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Yate Town 1-2 Havant & Wville | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Havant & Wville vs Yate Town on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Havant & Wville score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Havant & Wville | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Yate Town | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Havant & Wville sit 21st in Non League Premier - Southern South (3 points from 4 matches) and Yate Town sit 4th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Yate Town | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 21 | Havant & Wville | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Havant & Wville vs Yate Town?
- The Footlab model makes Havant & Wville the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Yate Town.
- Where and when is Havant & Wville vs Yate Town played?
- Havant & Wville vs Yate Town is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Westleigh Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026Frome TownvsHanworth Villa
- Nov 14, 2026Basingstoke TownvsChippenham Town
- Nov 14, 2026Bracknell TownvsUxbridge
- Nov 14, 2026Chertsey TownvsWimborne Town
- Nov 14, 2026Evesham UnitedvsGosport Borough
- Nov 14, 2026Hanwell TownvsPlymouth Parkway
- Nov 14, 2026Poole TownvsTaunton Town
- Nov 14, 2026Gloucester CityvsSholing