Where and when is Evesham United vs Bath City played?

Evesham United vs Bath City is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Evesham United vs Bath City: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, Evesham, Worcestershire

Evesham United

Bath City

The Footlab model makes Evesham United the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Bath City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Evesham United vs Bath City?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Evesham United (1,709) and Bath City (1,690).

Evesham United win48 %

Draw24 %

Bath City win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Evesham United have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Bath City have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Evesham United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Hanworth Villa(away)	1-4	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026	Chichester City(home)	3-0	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026	Frome Town(home)	0-4	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026	Basingstoke Town(away)	4-2	Non League Premier - Southern South
Jul 31, 2026	Bishop's Cleeve(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

Bath City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Basingstoke Town(away)	0-1	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026	Hanworth Villa(home)	1-0	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026	Plymouth Parkway(home)	1-1	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026	Sholing(away)	2-1	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026	Farnborough(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Evesham United win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bath City win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 16, 2022	Evesham United 1-1 Bath City	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Evesham United vs Bath City on Jul 16, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Evesham United score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bath City score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Evesham United	1.3	1.7	4	8/15	10/15
Bath City	1.2	1.9	2	8/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Evesham United sit 12th in Non League Premier - Southern South (6 points from 4 matches) and Bath City sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Bath City	4	2	1	1	4	3	7
12	Evesham United	4	2	0	2	8	10	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Evesham United vs Bath City?: The Footlab model makes Evesham United the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Bath City.
Where and when is Evesham United vs Bath City played?: Evesham United vs Bath City is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.