Haverfordwest County AFC vs The New Saints: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 22, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)New Bridge Meadow Stadium, Hwlffordd / Haverfordwest, Pembrokeshie
The Footlab model makes The New Saints the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Haverfordwest County AFC. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Haverfordwest County AFC vs The New Saints?
The New Saints is a heavy favourite: 2,060 Elo points against 1,755, a 304-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Haverfordwest County AFC have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; The New Saints have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Penybont(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | The New Saints(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Airbus UK(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cardiff MET(away) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Briton Ferry(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Penybont(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Flora Tallinn(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Haverfordwest County AFC win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 The New Saints win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | The New Saints 2-0 Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Haverfordwest County AFC 2-3 The New Saints | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2025 | The New Saints 5-0 Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Haverfordwest County AFC 1-3 The New Saints | Premier League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | The New Saints 5-1 Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League |
| Nov 10, 2024 | The New Saints 2-1 Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: The New Saints vs Haverfordwest County AFC on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Haverfordwest County AFC score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; The New Saints score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haverfordwest County AFC | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
| The New Saints | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Haverfordwest County AFC sit 14th in Premier League (0 points from 4 matches) and The New Saints sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | The New Saints | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 14 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Haverfordwest County AFC vs The New Saints?
- The Footlab model makes The New Saints the favourite at 70%, against 19% for a draw and 11% for Haverfordwest County AFC.
- Where and when is Haverfordwest County AFC vs The New Saints played?
- Haverfordwest County AFC vs The New Saints is played on January 22, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at New Bridge Meadow Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.