Caernarfon Town vs Cardiff MET: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 22, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Oval, Caernarfon, Gwynedd
The Footlab AI model makes Caernarfon Town the favourite at 74%, against 15% for a draw and 11% for Cardiff MET. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,484 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caernarfon Town vs Cardiff MET?
Caernarfon Town starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,913 vs 1,782).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caernarfon Town vs Cardiff MET
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caernarfon Town
4-3-3- 9Z. Clarke
- 10O. Evans
- 11A. Cieślewicz
- 6J. Canavan
- 14N. Edwards
- 19S. Bradley
- 16B. Nash
- 27R. Sears
- 23C. Marriott
- 4J. Piggott
- 1C. Roberts
Cardiff MET
4-3-3- 36S. Snaith
- 9J. Payne
- 11L. Mwandwe
- 4J. Veale
- 8C. Craven
- 24A. Wildig
- 33T. Raison
- 14Spencer Dymond-Hall
- 3Joel Edwards
- 5J. Clarke
- 1Arron Davies
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caernarfon Town have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Cardiff MET have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Airbus UK(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Briton Ferry(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 3-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Barry Town(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Penybont(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(home) | 4-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Trefelin(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Llandudno(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Caernarfon Town wins, 3 draws, 1 Cardiff MET win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cardiff MET 2-2 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Cardiff MET 2-4 Caernarfon Town | Welsh Cup |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Caernarfon Town 0-3 Cardiff MET | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Cardiff MET 2-2 Caernarfon Town | Premier League |
| May 11, 2025 | Caernarfon Town 0-0 Cardiff MET | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Caernarfon Town 2-1 Cardiff MET | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Cardiff MET vs Caernarfon Town on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Caernarfon Town score 2.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cardiff MET score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town | 2.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Cardiff MET | 1.6 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caernarfon Town sit 4th in Premier League (29 points from 15 matches) and Cardiff MET sit 8th (22 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 19 | 29 |
| 8 | Cardiff MET | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 22 |
A question about Caernarfon Town vs Cardiff MET?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caernarfon Town vs Cardiff MET?
- The Footlab AI model makes Caernarfon Town the favourite at 74%, against 15% for a draw and 11% for Cardiff MET.
- Where and when is Caernarfon Town vs Cardiff MET played?
- Caernarfon Town vs Cardiff MET is played on January 22, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Oval, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.