Trefelin vs Airbus UK: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 22, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Ynys Park, Cwmafan
The Footlab AI model makes Airbus UK the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Trefelin. The most likely score is 1-1. If Airbus UK wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trefelin vs Airbus UK?
Airbus UK starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,981 vs 1,797).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Trefelin vs Airbus UK
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Trefelin
4-3-3- 10T. Brock
- 11Lewys Ware
- 7K. Georgievsky
- 19J. Jones
- 20Bayan Aman
- 4L. Gerrard
- 26K. Owen
- 2M. Thomas
- 8J. Davies
- 35Osian Davies
- 1S. Coughlan
Airbus UK
4-3-3- 10K. Cooke
- 9J. Parry
- 17J. R. Roberts
- 11G. Peers
- 22Sean Moscrop
- 6Sam Rickett
- 4J. Stevenson
- 8J. Evans
- 23N. Williams
- 12B. Diau
- 1L. Fallon
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trefelin have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Airbus UK have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Cardiff MET(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Airbus UK(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | The New Saints(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Briton Ferry(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Llandudno(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Trefelin(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Penybont(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Flint Town United(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Trefelin wins, 0 draws, 2 Airbus UK wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Airbus UK 3-0 Trefelin | Premier League |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Airbus UK 2-1 Trefelin | Welsh Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Trefelin score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Airbus UK score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trefelin | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Airbus UK | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trefelin sit 15th in Premier League (6 points from 13 matches) and Airbus UK sit 8th (21 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Airbus UK | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 6 |
A question about Trefelin vs Airbus UK?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trefelin vs Airbus UK?
- The Footlab AI model makes Airbus UK the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Trefelin.
- Where and when is Trefelin vs Airbus UK played?
- Trefelin vs Airbus UK is played on January 22, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Ynys Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.