Aalborg vs Esbjerg: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Aalborg Portland Park, Aalborg
The Footlab AI model makes Aalborg the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Esbjerg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aalborg wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aalborg vs Esbjerg?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Aalborg (1,777) and Esbjerg (1,772).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aalborg vs Esbjerg
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aalborg
4-2-3-1- 7J. Adedeji
- 11K. Hansen
- 17A. Jasson
- 14M. Kubel
- 16T. Persyn
- 28V. Damgaard
- 33E. Makolli
- 24Nóel Atli Arnórsson
- 21P. Sondergaard
- 4B. Hansen
- 1V. Müller
Esbjerg
4-3-3- 80M. Brajanac
- 9J. Ampofo
- 18M. Hansen
- 7N. Strunck
- 8M. Maden
- 14J. Kolawole
- 19S. Eng Strand
- 25Gustav Bjerge
- 5J. Foss
- 4P. Tjørnelund
- 1W. Lykke
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:20 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aalborg have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Esbjerg have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Esbjerg(away) | 3-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vendsyssel FF(home) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Hvidovre(away) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 5, 2026 | AB Copenhagen(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 29, 2026 | HB Koge(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Aalborg(home) | 3-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AB Copenhagen(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Sep 15, 2026 | HIK(away) | 5-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Sep 12, 2026 | HB Koge(home) | 2-2 | 1. Division |
| Sep 5, 2026 | FC Fredericia(away) | 0-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aalborg win, 3 draws, 2 Esbjerg wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Esbjerg 3-3 Aalborg | 1. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Aalborg 1-1 Esbjerg | 1. Division |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Esbjerg 1-0 Aalborg | 1. Division |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Esbjerg 0-2 Aalborg | DBU Pokalen |
| Jun 30, 2021 | Aalborg 0-0 Esbjerg | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 19, 2020 | Esbjerg 2-1 Aalborg | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Aalborg score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Esbjerg score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aalborg | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Esbjerg | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aalborg sit 4th in 1. Division (14 points from 10 matches) and Esbjerg sit 12th (6 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aalborg | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Esbjerg | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 6 |
A question about Aalborg vs Esbjerg?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aalborg vs Esbjerg?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aalborg the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Esbjerg.
- Where and when is Aalborg vs Esbjerg played?
- Aalborg vs Esbjerg is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Aalborg Portland Park, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.