Heart of Lions vs Aduana Stars: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kpandu Stadium, Kpandu
The Footlab model makes Heart of Lions the favourite at 55%, against 30% for a draw and 15% for Aduana Stars. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heart of Lions vs Aduana Stars?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Heart of Lions (1,580) and Aduana Stars (1,574).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heart of Lions have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Aduana Stars have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 2-5 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Samartex(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Nations(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Aduana Stars(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Karela(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Vision(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Young Apostles(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Heart of Lions win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Aduana Stars win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Aduana Stars 0-0 Heart of Lions | Premier League |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Heart of Lions 0-1 Aduana Stars | Premier League |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Heart of Lions 2-1 Aduana Stars | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Aduana Stars 1-1 Heart of Lions | Premier League |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Aduana Stars 1-0 Heart of Lions | Premier League |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Heart of Lions 1-2 Aduana Stars | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Aduana Stars vs Heart of Lions on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Heart of Lions score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aduana Stars score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart of Lions | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Aduana Stars | 0.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heart of Lions sit 14th in Premier League (45 points from 34 matches) and Aduana Stars sit 6th (50 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aduana Stars | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 24 | 50 |
| 14 | Heart of Lions | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 33 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heart of Lions vs Aduana Stars?
- The Footlab model makes Heart of Lions the favourite at 55%, against 30% for a draw and 15% for Aduana Stars.
- Where and when is Heart of Lions vs Aduana Stars played?
- Heart of Lions vs Aduana Stars is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kpandu Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.