Dreams vs Medeama: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Dawu Sports Stadium, Accra
The Footlab model makes Dreams the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Medeama. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dreams vs Medeama?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Dreams (1,663) and Medeama (1,661).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dreams have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Medeama have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Nations(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| May 24, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Bibiani Gold Stars(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Berekum Chelsea(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Bechem United(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | ASEC Mimosas(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SOA(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 27, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(away) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Heart of Lions(home) | 5-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Dreams win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Medeama win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Dreams 3-2 Medeama | Cup |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Dreams 2-1 Medeama | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Medeama 2-1 Dreams | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Dreams 4-2 Medeama | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Medeama 4-0 Dreams | Premier League |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Dreams 1-0 Medeama | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Dreams score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Medeama score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dreams | 1.9 | 0.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Medeama | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dreams sit 4th in Premier League (52 points from 34 matches) and Medeama sit 1st (62 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Medeama | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 52 | 28 | 62 |
| 4 | Dreams | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 49 | 32 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dreams vs Medeama?
- The Footlab model makes Dreams the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Medeama.
- Where and when is Dreams vs Medeama played?
- Dreams vs Medeama is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Dawu Sports Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026Bechem UnitedvsBibiani Gold Stars
- Sep 5, 2026Hearts of OakvsBerekum Chelsea
- Sep 5, 2026Heart of LionsvsAduana Stars
- Sep 5, 2026SamartexvsKarela
- Sep 5, 2026Debibi UnitedvsAsante Kotoko
- Sep 5, 2026Basake Holy StarsvsSwedru All Blacks
- Sep 5, 2026VisionvsYoung Apostles
- Sep 5, 2026Port CityvsAshanti Gold