Samartex vs Karela: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nsenkyire Sports Arena, Samreboi
The Footlab model makes Samartex the favourite at 56%, against 30% for a draw and 14% for Karela. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Samartex vs Karela?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Samartex (1,581) and Karela (1,569).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Samartex have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Karela have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Young Apostles(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Heart of Lions(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Bibiani Gold Stars(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Basake Holy Stars(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Nations(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Swedru All Blacks(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Vision(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Hearts of Oak(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Young Apostles(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Samartex win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Karela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Karela 0-1 Samartex | Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Samartex 1-1 Karela | Premier League |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Samartex 2-0 Karela | Premier League |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Karela 1-1 Samartex | Premier League |
| Jun 9, 2024 | Karela 4-2 Samartex | Premier League |
| Dec 24, 2023 | Samartex 3-0 Karela | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Samartex score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Karela score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samartex | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Karela | 0.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Samartex sit 5th in Premier League (50 points from 34 matches) and Karela sit 9th (49 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Samartex | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 25 | 50 |
| 9 | Karela | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 32 | 33 | 49 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Samartex vs Karela?
- The Footlab model makes Samartex the favourite at 56%, against 30% for a draw and 14% for Karela.
- Where and when is Samartex vs Karela played?
- Samartex vs Karela is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nsenkyire Sports Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026DreamsvsMedeama
- Sep 5, 2026Bechem UnitedvsBibiani Gold Stars
- Sep 5, 2026Hearts of OakvsBerekum Chelsea
- Sep 5, 2026Heart of LionsvsAduana Stars
- Sep 5, 2026Debibi UnitedvsAsante Kotoko
- Sep 5, 2026Basake Holy StarsvsSwedru All Blacks
- Sep 5, 2026VisionvsYoung Apostles
- Sep 5, 2026Port CityvsAshanti Gold