Hearts of Oak vs Ashanti Gold: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Accra Sports Stadium, Accra
The Footlab model makes Hearts of Oak the favourite at 54%, against 29% for a draw and 17% for Ashanti Gold. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hearts of Oak vs Ashanti Gold?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Hearts of Oak (1,637) and Ashanti Gold (1,631).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hearts of Oak have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Ashanti Gold have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 4-2 | Premier League |
| May 17, 2026 | Samartex(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Aduana Stars(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2026 | Karela(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Nations(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | King Faisal(away) | 1-0 | Division One League |
| May 10, 2026 | PAC Academy(home) | 2-1 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | Nsuopun Fidelity(away) | 0-3 | Division One League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Skyy(home) | 4-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Rospak(away) | 1-0 | Division One League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hearts of Oak win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Ashanti Gold win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2022 | Hearts of Oak 2-1 Ashanti Gold | Premier League |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Ashanti Gold 2-0 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Ashanti Gold 1-0 Hearts of Oak | Premier League |
| Nov 24, 2020 | Hearts of Oak 2-2 Ashanti Gold | Premier League |
| Feb 6, 2020 | Hearts of Oak 0-0 Ashanti Gold | Premier League |
| Mar 24, 2018 | Hearts of Oak 1-3 Ashanti Gold | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Hearts of Oak vs Ashanti Gold on Mar 20, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Hearts of Oak score 0.9 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ashanti Gold score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hearts of Oak | 0.9 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Ashanti Gold | 1.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hearts of Oak | 34 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 54 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hearts of Oak vs Ashanti Gold?
- The Footlab model makes Hearts of Oak the favourite at 54%, against 29% for a draw and 17% for Ashanti Gold.
- Where and when is Hearts of Oak vs Ashanti Gold played?
- Hearts of Oak vs Ashanti Gold is played on December 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Accra Sports Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 26, 2026DreamsvsYoung Apostles
- Dec 26, 2026Bechem UnitedvsMedeama
- Dec 26, 2026KarelavsHeart of Lions
- Dec 26, 2026Bibiani Gold StarsvsBerekum Chelsea
- Dec 26, 2026Debibi UnitedvsSamartex
- Dec 26, 2026Basake Holy StarsvsAduana Stars
- Dec 26, 2026VisionvsAsante Kotoko
- Dec 26, 2026Port CityvsSwedru All Blacks